Iran Ceasefire? Nobody Knows What’s Happening

(00:00.728)

Iran and the land of confusion. Land of confusion was a Genesis song back in the 1980s. And yeah, if you’re not confused by this, I’m sorry. you got to explain to me where you’re getting your information from. because I don’t know, according according to my language, a ceasefire would mean that you cease firing, but

We’re firing on one another. So how in the world could it be a ceasefire? bits of information coming out from the administration, counterpoints coming out from Iran. Everywhere we’re hearing that there’s a deal that’s gonna be had, deals close, but then again, on the other side, no, we’re not gonna do this. I I again, I don’t know. I don’t know. I was doing a interview this morning and I said, you know, we got to queue up.

Gotta cue up the old Sonny and chair song there. like beginning of ground groundhog day every morning. Bill Murray gets up to that song. it’s like every every after every weekend. I got a long weekend this weekend. Same story. Same story. Movement in the markets, movement back in the markets, back, forth, back, forth, back, forth. You know, I I you I’d rather watch tennis. I’m gonna w watch my head move like this, quite frankly.

I I don’t know quite frankly, and again, y I you watch, you know, various different pundits that are on TV and they’re there to have a certain opinion. And I’ve explained this to you, this how this works before. Okay. I don’t play this game. They’re paid to have a certain opinion. Oftentimes they represent a certain group, whatever it may be. I I I was thinking about this, okay, because again, you you’ve got some of these

again I I I military personnel, you know, hawks out there saying that, you know, we need to we need to put troops on the ground. We need to go into Iran. So I started thinking about it a little bit. And first and foremost, we can’t get our aircraft carriers anywhere near this. It’s gonna, you know, it’s gotta be hell and high water away. Can’t defend them.

(02:24.536)

Can’t defend them if they’re too close. It’s just the reality. You’re gonna get drone swarms. So you understand putting troops on the ground. You gotta understand that there’s logistics that you need to obviously get involved. You can talk about supply chain management. you know, Halliburton, you know, they did a lot of that, you know, during the first Gulf War. And and, you know, there’s other companies out there that handle and contractors doing

these logistics. How are you gonna do that in Iran? From where?

From where? Do you do you think that do you think we’re gonna have we’re gonna establish a a a like a beachhead in the UAE and get across the water or Oman? Do you think that we’re gonna we we pulled out of Afghanistan now? I I mean we’re gonna set up in Afghanistan and try to do this? Do you think Pakistan’s gonna let us do this? you know, again, I gotta go back and take a look at a map. Here.

Yeah, we you know, you think Turkmenistan’s gonna let us set up shop and invade from there? Azerbaijan? No. Turkey? No. They’re not gonna let us do that. They want no part of this.

Now, I I also thought about, you know, summertime. and I didn’t know this. I did know this. Did a little homework. you know that southern Iran, where we would have to invade from, has it’s some of the most inhospitable weather in the summer that we’re heading to in the world. If you don’t believe me, look it up. You’re talking average daily temperatures of 112 degrees and

(04:16.852)

Ninety percent humidity.

Do you understand the logistical nightmare? I I I don’t care how much jumping up and down Pete Hegseth, war fighters, whatever it may be, if you don’t think that that’s gonna be a frickin’ issue.

You’re crazy ’cause it is.

(04:42.306)

How are we gonna pull that off? Put boots on the ground, we gotta go in there, we gotta get. Really, really. you know, Afghanistan, you know, they didn’t, you know, they had guys fighting in caves and whatnot and IEDs. they didn’t have drones, okay? They didn’t have missiles. they’re military, you know, it’s not, you know, the

Revolutionary guard by any stretch of the imagination. You think we’re gonna be able to put a base up there? You think we’re gonna be able to pull that off? So so you know, I I think about this and I’m saying these people they they must know this.

They must know this, but they go on TV and they they start talking this this nonsense like this is gonna be some walk in the park.

It’s not. I don’t know what’s going to happen next. from what I’m hearing, again, what I’m hearing, and it’s more multiple sources, Israel’s not too happy about this deal that we’ve put together. They want to be able to continue to attack Lebanon. That’s a non-starter for the Iranians.

They also say that we have to take out all of the uranium on day one. and they want every and Trump has also put this out there. This is they want everybody to join the Abraham Accords. And this would normalize relations with Israel. But again, many of these countries have problems with the occupation in Gaza. So I don’t know what’s gonna happen next. This is this is what I’m hearing. This is what I’m hearing at this point in time.

(06:34.6)

but they’re threatening as well. You know, we start bombing again. Well, they’re gonna start bombing too. there just again, there’s certain realities. dealing with the train, dealing with the weather. you know, are we gonna get a 60-day ceasefire? Start letting people I I don’t know. Again, they’re calling it a ceasefire, yet we’re shooting at one another. again, it’s one big fat, huge.

Land of confusion. the markets at this point in time seem to think that it’s kind of a stalemate, a mutually assured destruction model, and both will try to save face and walk away. Okay. Again, I’m hoping that can happen. I’ve been saying this for months now. So declare victory, get out, tell all of your supporters here in the United States that we won bigly. They’ll believe it.

All the magas believe it. Don’t worry about it. You can say whatever you want. You can say this is great. You can go out, you can tell the MAGA types that this is the greatest military victory in the history of the country, and they’re gonna believe it. Okay? Just do it.

Just do it and get out. Watchdog on wallstreet.com.